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It is always a greater risk betting on the first Saturday of the season. There is no guide to who gets out of the starting blocks quickly or whether this will be a high scoring season but there are a few interesting bets.

The games to avoid are probably Hull against Fulham which has draw written on it or maybe Fulham will have the firepower. People have been writing them off as potential relegation candidates but I am a fan of Roy Hodgson. Onj the other hand I wouldn’t mind betting this could be Hull’s only win for a long time.  It is a hard call at West Ham where Wigan who finished strongly last year are not going to play the kind of football the east Londoners like. It is a tough call to see if either Spurs or Liverpool can win away in the north east at Middlesbrough and Sunderland respectively, Maybe, maybe not.

The first four games alphabetically look home wins:

Arsenal should beat newly promoted West Brom, perhaps not without a scare or two

Aston Villa should be too strong for Mark Hughes Manchester City who will have £18 million Brazilian striker Jo upfront, but £18million is not enough to buy a place in the Olympic team and with ructions backstage cannot be a help. Some smart money says Hughes will be a shoe in at the first Premiership side in enough trouble to sack their manager. That’s Newcastle then.

Bolton should take care of newly promoted Stoke who can start their freefall back to the Championship.

And Everton will not allow Paul Ince’s Blackburn much space.

£10 on those four pays £83.

Compare that to the obvious banker that Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester United are all at home and all win - £10 would pay £19.

There is a free £10 bet for new members at BetClick - win and you keep the money, lose and, well, you don’t. They pay it.

Laws of soccer betting

1. How to win money on any soccer league

The first law of soccer betting is to know your league. Or more to the point know how many goals are usually scored. This is an important analysis not only because it shows the trend of who might beat whom, but more importantly opens the door o nthe far more mathematically meaningful wagers of getting the correct scores.

Take last season’s Premier League for example:

The top six clubs down to Aston Villa all had goal differences of 20 plus. United were run away winners with plus 58, but Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea were within parity of just four goals. Useful information that.

The botom nine had negative goal differrences. Bottom club Derby was a massive minus 69, so they shipped more negative eresults than Manchester united scored at the top. There were some curiosities in here mostly with Newcastle finishing 11th but with minus 20 (thanks KK) and Birmingham, whose surprise demotion is reflected in a goal difference of minus 16, which if it had only been about goal difference should have had them finish 13th.

Between the top and the bottom five teams finished with more or less equal goalf differences.

From which we can learn one valuable lesson. The top six teams scored their goals against the bottom sides. The teams in the middle scrapped it out and ended with roughly par goals. Statistically therefore the high scoring games were top v bottom and the draws were eeked out in mid table.

Chelsea lost the title by drawing seven games at home. Liverpool lost out by not winning away.

Bet on the first Saturday of the new season soccer here

Compare that to the French Ligue1

The top seven teams had positive goal advanatages but scored far fewer goals. Just on a goals basis Lyon who were champions scored plus 37 which would have put them fifth in England.

The bottom six were in negative equity but nowhere near as badly as in England, leaving a middle rump of seven teams with rough parity when one allows for the fact that bottom clubs Metz and Strasbourgh shipped 57 goals between them. Bit the six middling placed clubs all had between five and seven draws away from home.

But look at the number of draws from the top - out of 38 games, seven, nine, 11, 15, 10, 10, 18, 16, 18, 16. It is not quite 50% but the figures show clearly this is a league to bet on old style - go for the draws. In the Premier League the percentage is closer to an average 25%.

So we conclude that France is a lower scoring league all round, much more likely to yield a winning result on 1-0. We conclude there will be a higher percentage of draws. And we conclude that the bottom clubs are vulnerable to not just losing, but losing big.

Ok, if we are going to seduce Lady Luck, then we need to have a strategy - a little wine, a little dinner, candlelight, all of which cost dosh, so we need to make some cash. Of course, the gorgeous diva may not after all, even after a bottle of voddie, come across, but you never know if you don’t try. And ity is the same with soccer betting. Just flying off with “Howdya fancy a night in the sack, doll” is not usually a prescription for success, even if it is what you mean.

So if we are going to win at soccer betting, we need to have a strategy and stick to it, massaging it. Of course I cannot guarantee that you will win millions but I can shed some hard thinking on thwe subject and mechanisms that may weigh the scales down on your side.

Without getting carried away, the chances of winning at soccer betting are much better than a slot machine, than the National Lottery, than the Circle Line not stopping at Camden Town this morning. We just need to take it slow and steady. Stake low, stake often, spread your odds, win big, win regular, not millions, but hundreds or thousands depending whether you want to play this game with £1, £10 or £100. Your choice.

I bet at www.BetClick.com because it is easy, fast, new and I am not interested in being a saddo slumping all over the web lookign for a fraction of a fraction of a fraction of a better odds. My time is more important. I am not that compulsive. In fact being a lazy gambler is a virtue.

The new soccer season is upon us and already the friendly matches are flying through the diary. Over the summer we have been cogitating a new kind of bet. It is a very low stake, but very high return. Statistically the odds are a lot better than the National Lottery - well what is not? Depending how you pitch it, the odds in reality are only 10-1 up to 20/1 and with a little bit of basic football knowledge, they are possibly better than that.

The idea is to bet on the correct scores of a football match. Not just once. But two as doubles.

Take a look at this week’s matches and see how that configures.

If Arsenal and Liverpool were both to win 2-0 on Wednesday night £10 would pay out £990

By the same token Barcelona to win 2-0 against Fiorentina and Jose Mourninhos Inter Milan to win 2-0 at home against Seville £10 would pay out £680. These are far better odds than a slot machine for example.

Make that a triple with the same bet on Marseille at home to Toulouse on Saturday and the pay out potential is £4,420.

There is a free £10 bet for new members at BetClick if you open an account NOW!!

The semi finals of the Fifa Beach World Cup take place in Marseille at the weekend. Daniel scored three goals rto help Brazil overc ome Russia 6-4. They will meet Portugal. The orther semi is between Spain and Italy. Fifa’s own web site has got quite excited by the dancing girls contribution too. “

 

“Beach soccer and beautiful girls have walked hand in hand since the inauguration of the discipline, and built up a relationship that has evolved into an everlasting love story. Be it cheering on the stands or lighting up the intermissions with their routines, the gorgeous entertainers are an important part of the sport’s exhilarating ambience. Besides the display of bicycle kicks and flying headers exectued by the players, the girls perform a crucial role in making beach soccer one of the fastest-growing spectator sports.” So now you know.

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