The great man is lounging on a sofa in the Savoy lounge. He is wearing a gold waistcoat and looks propsoperous in the way of a Cuban cigar magnate. There is a gold ring on his third finger. The watch is Cartier. The suit is Lanvin. The drink is Chateau Lafite 1989.
“Betting for me is different,” he explains. “I am a rich man. The rules for rich men’s betting are different to those of other people. A rich man bets a lot on small odds. A poor man has to bet a lot on longer odds.”
How often do you bet?
“Not a lot in reality. I talk about it a lot. But a rich man has to be right three times out of four. So I am careful in my choices. I don’t like to lose, you see.
“I like the mathematics. I like to prove a system to myself before I put any money down. It is just like business really. You are always trying to minimise the risk and massage the upside.”
When did you start gambling?
“When I started winning. I am like a Deep Stack poker player. I bide my time and wait for the right cards. Two aces suits me fine. I don’t like walking back to Houston”
What do you bet on?
“Soccer for choice. That is my discipline. I am intererested in tennis too, more and more.”
Horses?
“I cannot say I like the horses. Too much history there. Too much intangible. With football there is no corruption or very little and very occassional and even then not really likely to interfere with my approach. With horses I never feel you can get that sound baseline.”
Does your wife approve of your gambling?
“She has six children. I pay the bills. She goes shopping. Why should she complain? It does not get in our way as a family. She would rather I am online for a few minutes with my football betting than on some dating site.”
Would you bet if you did not have the money?
“No. I set a budget. I stick to it. But that was a while ago. I start over again each season and tally up”
How much have you really made out of gambling?
“That is not a fair question. I work on a 60:40 ratio. But I can afford to put £10k on Manchester United to win because that is still £4,000 profit which is cute for a little attention to detail. But if I could not afford to wager that much I would be looking for accumulators and my particular interest of the moment which is a double on two teams to get the same scoreline, say 2-0. That pays big time, if you can get it right.”
Your tip for the weekend?
“Don’t bet. It is all too volatile and too unpredictable. I am keeping my money for the opening of the Premier League. Even then I may wait a couple of weeks to see who is playing well. But I have a good feeling about Chelsea under Luis Felipe Scolari. Last year under Avram Grant they were a nightmare because although they were unbeaten at home and theoretically a banker, they actually drew too many games.”
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